I’m a Former US Army Special Forces: Russian War in Ukraine Could Collapse

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Ukrainian attacks in Crimea have a profound impact on Russia – The war in Ukraine has reached the point of a stalemate with very little movement on either side in terms of taking or retaking territory. But recent events have already changed Russia’s actions and, as Western military officials have told the media, are having a profound psychological impact.

Attacks in Crimea by Ukrainian forces extended the combat zone deep into Russian-occupied Crimea, where they previously operated with impunity. Crimea was annexed by Russia in 2014 and was used to stage the invasion of southern Ukraine in its attempts to seize all of Ukraine’s access to the Black Sea.

Ukraine’s National Security Council chief Oleksiy Danilov said on Friday that Kyiv would continue to target sites in Crimea as part of a “gradual demilitarization of the peninsula with its subsequent deoccupation”.

Latest news in Ukraine: the Black Sea Fleet reduced to coastal defense:

The Russian Black Sea Fleet suffered setbacks throughout the invasion campaign.

In April, the flagship of the fleet, the cruiser Moscow, was sunk after being hit by anti-ship missiles causing the ammunition to explode. The Russians attempted to tow the cruiser to Sevastopol, but it capsized and sank during the voyage.

Later in June the Russians were forced to withdraw from the small but strategic outpost of snake island, off the southern coast of Ukraine. Russian troops seized the island during the first hours of the war, where a Ukrainian radio operator, upon receiving the Moskva’s demand for surrender, replied, “Russian warship, fuck off!” The Russian Defense Ministry called the withdrawal from the island a “goodwill gesture”.

Last month, the Russian Navy Day parade in Crimea was canceled after a small homemade drone landed in the courtyard of Russia’s Black Sea headquarters. The damage was slight, but it had a significant impact. Then came the attack on the Russian air base at Saki which destroyed eight planes and damaged others. He effectively took half of Russian aviation assets in the Black Sea.

On Monday, Ukrainian supporters acting with special forces personnel blew up a large ammunition depot near the coast. On Friday nightexplosions were heard near another Russian air base and the headquarters of the Black Sea Fleet was hit by another explosion.

“Moskva” (“Moscow”) (formerly “Slava”, which means “Glory”) is the lead ship of the Project 1164 Atlant class of missile cruisers of the Russian Navy. This warship was used in the 2008 Russo-Georgian War. The Black Sea. Bay of Sevastopol. This photo was taken from a boat.

Thousands of Russian citizens on the Black Sea flee after the attack

The attack on the ammunition depot this week was seen by thousands of Russian citizens on the Black Sea coast, a favorite vacation spot. But the attack deeply affected these holidaymakers, because Satellite imagery showed a long line of vehicles leaving Crimea for Russia immediately after the attack.

For a country that has carefully orchestrated the news available to Russian citizens and any negative reporting of the invasion can result in lengthy prison sentences, this development is significant.

Russia believed that this area of ​​the Black Sea was safe from any Ukrainian attack. The attack affected both fleeing citizens and the Moscow government. There seemed to be real panic among the civilians, and no amount of government intervention can hide the fact or prevent those fleeing from telling what happened.

Putin’s Ukraine Problems: Black Sea Fleet Commander Sacked

The commander of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, Igor Osipov, was replaced after several setbacks in his command and his power projection was severely affected.

Osipov was replaced by Vice Admiral Viktor Sokolov, who swore that the defensive posture would soon be replaced by new operations that would see control of the entire Black Sea. Russian government-controlled news, TASS, quoted him as saying that the fleet had “successfully carried out all the tasks assigned to it” during the “special military operation”.

Ukraine

Servicemen of pro-Russian troops fire from a tank during fighting in the Ukraine-Russia conflict near the Azovstal steel plant in the southern port city of Mariupol, Ukraine May 5, 2022. Picture taken May 5, 2022 REUTERS/Alexander Ermoshenko

Sokolov told a group of young officers that he had been appointed acting commander of the Black Sea Fleet, and that the fleet will receive 12 new ships and additional air and ground vehicles later this year. Sokolov was previously Admiral Kuznetsov’s chief naval academy, a position he had held since 2020.

Steve Balestrieri is a national security columnist from 1945. He served as a non-commissioned officer and warrant officer in the U.S. Army Special Forces, primarily in the 7th SFG. In addition to writing for 19fortyfive.com and other military news agencies, he covered the NFL for PatsFans.com for over 11 years. His work has been regularly featured in the Massachusetts Millbury-Sutton Chronicle and Grafton News newspapers.

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